Trump’s 15% Tariff Shift Meets 44% KOSPI Rally And $4.7 Trillion Nvidia Test In Asia Markets

Sunita Somvanshi

Asia-Pacific markets traded mixed on Tuesday, February 25, 2026, as investors weighed renewed tariff action by U.S. President Donald Trump and concerns that artificial intelligence tools could displace existing software companies. On Truth Social, Trump posted that any country wanting to “play games” with a recent Supreme Court decision “will be met with a much higher tariff.”

The comments followed the U.S. Supreme Court’s 6–3 ruling on February 20, 2026 in Learning Resources, Inc. v. Trump, which struck down tariffs enacted under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA). In response, Trump invoked Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974, imposing a 15% temporary global import surcharge. Unlike IEEPA, Section 122 carries a strict 150-day statutory limit unless Congress votes to extend it.

“We expect limited changes to the agreements already in place and also as we expect President Trump to use these means to improve his bargaining position with those countries where agreements are being negotiated,” said Lorraine Tan, director of equity research at Morningstar. She added that she expects market reactions to remain muted.

Meanwhile, Anthropic debuted a new security tool for its Claude model in a limited research preview — a code-scanning service that identifies software vulnerabilities and suggests patches. This triggered a second consecutive day of pressure on cybersecurity and software stocks, with CrowdStrike retreating nearly 10% and Microsoft falling 3%. Chip-heavy markets in Japan, Taiwan, and South Korea, however, rose to record highs as AI hardware demand continues to drive semiconductor capex.


Asia-Pacific stock market trading screens showing index data — Feb 2026

Asia-Pacific indices posted broad gains on Feb 25, 2026, led by chip-exporting economies. Data: official exchange sources.

Asia-Pacific Index Snapshot — Feb 25, 2026

Official closing prices. Chip-exporting nations led all gains. Data sourced from official exchanges.

🇯🇵
58,583.12
▲ +2.20%
Record High
🇹🇼
34,700.82
▲ +2.75%
Record High
🇰🇷
6,083.86
▲ +1.91%
Record High
🇦🇺
9,128.30
▲ +1.17%
Moderate Gain
🇭🇰
26,765.72
▲ +0.66%
Recovering
🇨🇳
Shanghai
4,147.23
▲ +0.72%
Post-LNY
YTD 2026 Performance (%) — How far each market has climbed this year
WTI Crude
$66.03
▲ +$0.40/bbl
Brent
$71.00
▲ +$0.42/bbl
USD / JPY
156.42
▲ +0.51

The Tariff Pivot: One Week That Changed U.S. Trade Law

From IEEPA being struck down to Section 122 kicking in — here is what happened, step by step.

Feb 20, 2026 — Supreme Court
6–3 Ruling
IEEPA Tariffs Struck Down
In Learning Resources, Inc. v. Trump, the Court held that the International Emergency Economic Powers Act does not grant the President authority to levy tariffs — a power the Constitution reserves for Congress under Article I. All IEEPA-based import duties were vacated by the ruling.
Feb 20, 2026 — White House
Presidential Proclamation
Section 122 — 15% Global Import Surcharge
Hours after the ruling, Trump issued a proclamation invoking Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974, imposing a temporary 15% surcharge on global imports. The stated basis is addressing “fundamental international payments problems.” Section 122 is capped at 150 days — roughly until July 19, 2026 — unless Congress acts to extend it.
Feb 24, 2026 — 12:01 AM ET — CBP
U.S. Customs & Border Protection
ACE System Updated — IEEPA Duties Go Inactive
CBP’s CSMS notice confirmed that IEEPA tariff HTS codes were deactivated in the Automated Commercial Environment (ACE) system as of 12:01 a.m. ET, Feb. 24, 2026. Importers and freight forwarders were instructed to adjust entry filings immediately. The mechanics of potential refunds for duties already paid remain legally unresolved. Penn Wharton Budget Model analysis flagged large potential revenue swings and refund liabilities from the regime transition.
Feb 24, 2026 — Truth Social
Presidential Post
“Play Games” = Higher Tariffs
Trump posted that any country attempting to exploit the Supreme Court ruling — for instance by seeking refunds or reneging on existing trade deals — would face “much higher tariffs and worse.” The USTR issued a statement noting trade agreements already in place remain intact.
Feb 24, 2026 — State of the Union
SOTU: “Ratepayer Protection Pledge”
Big Tech Must Build Its Own Power Plants for AI
During the State of the Union address, Trump announced that major technology companies must build their own power plants to meet the energy demands of AI data centres. The stated goal is to prevent electricity costs rising for ordinary consumers. How this would be enforced was not specified in the address. See also: Microsoft’s $1B Ohio data centre cancellation amid tariffs and AI shifts.
150-Day Clock — Expires ~July 19, 2026
What Importers Need to Know
Section 122 Window & Congressional Role
The Section 122 surcharge is temporary — up to 150 days — unless Congress votes to extend or modify it. Aircraft parts, critical minerals and certain pharmaceuticals have separate treatment in the proclamation’s implementing guidance. Importers should check CBP CSMS guidance for re-entry and refund workflows.

The AI Disruption Split: Hardware Wins, Software Rattled

Two sectors, two very different reactions. Chip makers posted records while cybersecurity stocks slid for a second straight session.

🛡️
New — Limited Research Preview
Anthropic’s Claude Code Security
Anthropic released Claude Code Security in a limited research preview for software defenders. The tool scans codebases for vulnerabilities and suggests patches, with Anthropic stressing that human review is required at each stage. The launch was cited by analysts as a factor behind cybersecurity-sector weakness. More on Claude: Claude models in U.S. intelligence.
📉
Two-Day Sell-Off
CrowdStrike −10% & Microsoft −3%
CrowdStrike retreated ~10% and Microsoft dropped 3% as investors questioned the long-term position of traditional “bolted-on” security software when AI-native tools can scan code for vulnerabilities directly. This was the second consecutive session of cybersecurity sector pressure. See: UK’s £8.22M AI security lab at NATO.
Chip Rally
TSMC +3.42% — Taiwan Leads Asia to Record
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) — the world’s largest contract chip manufacturer — rose over 3.42%. The Taiex advanced 2.75% to a record 34,700.82, up ~22% year-to-date in 2026. South Korea’s KOSPI is up ~44% YTD, Japan’s Nikkei up 15% YTD. AI capex spending translates directly into semiconductor equipment orders for these economies.
🎯
Results Due Today
Nvidia Q4 FY26 — All Eyes on $65.68B Revenue Target
Nvidia’s Q4 FY26 earnings call is scheduled for today (Feb. 25). LSEG consensus: revenue ~$65.68B (+68% YoY), EPS ~$1.46 (+62% YoY). Q1 FY27 guidance target: ~$72B. Nvidia has beaten revenue forecasts for 13 consecutive quarters. Options imply a ±4.8% share move — equivalent to ~$226B in market value. Its market cap of $4.7 trillion exceeds Japan’s or India’s annual GDP. See: Nvidia’s previous record quarter.
Single-Session Move — Feb 24–25, 2026 (as reported)
CrowdStrike
−~10%
Microsoft
−3%
TSMC (TWD)
+3.42%
Nikkei 225
+2.20%
Taiex
+2.75%
KOSPI
+1.91%

Where Markets Stand — Asia-Pacific & Policy Hubs

Tap or click any marker for index close data and the key policy event for that location.

How to read this map: Green dots = record-high closes. Blue = moderate gain. Amber = recovering. Red = policy action hub. Data sourced from official exchange pages linked in each popup.
Record High
Moderate Gain
Recovering
Policy Hub

Three Macro Catalysts Driving This Week’s Trade

China’s LPR decision, Nvidia earnings, and the State of the Union — all landing within 48 hours.

🇨🇳 China — Loan Prime Rate, Feb 24, 2026
1-Year LPR (commercial loans)3.00%
5-Year LPR (property loans)3.50%
DecisionUnchanged

The People’s Bank of China held both benchmark lending rates at the February fixing. Source: Xinhua / PBOC. Mainland markets rose 1.06% as trading resumed after the Lunar New Year holiday. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng gained 0.66%, though healthcare stocks weighed — Labubu maker Pop Mart fell 5% after releasing a new toy series. Data: HKEX.

🟢 Nvidia Q4 FY26 — Earnings Preview
Q4 Revenue Forecast~$65.68B
Est. Revenue Growth (YoY)+68%
Est. EPS Growth (YoY)+62%
Q1 FY27 Guidance Target~$72B
Consecutive Beat Streak13 quarters
Options-Implied Move±4.8% (~$226B)
Market Cap$4.7 Trillion

Nvidia Newsroom IR page. The quarter covers November 2025 – January 2026. Also: Nvidia Blackwell MLPerf benchmarks.

🇺🇸 SOTU + Europe Snapshot
S&P 500 Futures (post-SOTU)+0.1%
Dow Futures+0.1%
Germany DAX+0.2% / 25,024
France CAC 40+0.3% / 8,542
UK FTSE 100+0.8% / 10,763
EUR / USD$1.1792
USD / JPY156.42

The SOTU focused on jobs and manufacturing. Trump expressed a “preference” to resolve Iran’s nuclear issues “diplomatically,” which briefly nudged oil lower. AI was mentioned in the context of the “Ratepayer Protection Pledge.” Transcript: White House.

Artificial intelligence data centre chip racks — illustrating AI hardware demand driving semiconductor markets

AI data centre hardware demand is the mechanical driver behind the semiconductor capex boom lifting markets in Japan, Taiwan and South Korea. Source context: Nvidia’s $500B U.S. chip plan.

This briefing covered Asia-Pacific index closes for February 25, 2026, the legal shift from IEEPA to Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974, the CBP ACE system update, and the “Ratepayer Protection Pledge” from the State of the Union address. The article also covered Anthropic’s Claude Code Security launch and its effect on cybersecurity stocks, TSMC’s single-session gain of over 3.42%, and Nvidia’s Q4 FY26 earnings preview.

China’s People’s Bank of China held its Loan Prime Rate at 3.00% (1-year) and 3.50% (5-year) on February 24, 2026. Mainland Chinese markets rose 1.06% on the Lunar New Year return. The KOSPI’s 44% year-to-date gain and the Taiex’s 22% YTD rise were also covered, alongside European futures and commodity prices as of the early trading session on February 25.

The covered developments include the ongoing regulatory scrutiny facing TSMC and the broader U.S. semiconductor manufacturing push. The tariff impact on Big Tech balance sheets and the pace of Anthropic’s AI development cycle were also covered in this briefing.

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